Antimicrobial resistance crisis a major threat to human health

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Antimicrobial resistance crisis a major threat to human health
Microbiologist works with tubes of bacteria samples in an antimicrobial resistance and characterisation lab at the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [AP Photo/David Goldman]

A stark warning of the impact of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) or so-called superbugs was issued in January by Sally Davies, who was Britain’s chief medical officer from 2010 to 2019. She told the Guardian: “About a million people die every year because of the spread of microbial resistance, and that figure will rise over the next 25 years. It is really scary.”

Davies has long advocated for measures to resolve what has become a major health crisis and, in 2013, wrote a book titled The Drugs Don’t Work: A Global Threat. In 2022 the issue became very personal when her 38-year-old god daughter Emily Hoyle, who suffered from cystic fibrosis and was severely immune compromised, died after acquiring a drug-resistant lung infection.

“I’ve started calling it [AMR] the Grand Pandemic.… It’s the third most important underlying cause of death in the world,” she told The Naked Scientists.

The death toll Davies calculates, while shocking, may be a significant underestimation. An editorial published in the prestigious British medical journal, the Lancet, last May, “Antimicrobial resistance: an agenda for all,” cited a study from 2022 that “almost 5 million deaths per year are associated with drug-resistant bacteria, with a higher burden among low-income and middle-income countries.”

The Lancet also published an important assessment of the developing AMR crisis in September 2024 entitled “Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050.”

“Our forecasts show that an estimated 1·91 million (1·56–2·26) deaths attributable to AMR and 8·22 million (6·85–9·65) deaths associated with AMR could occur globally in 2050,” the researchers stated. When compared to their estimate for 2021 of 1.14 million deaths, their forecast represents a 67.5 percent increase in annual deaths in the next 25 years directly attributed to bacterial AMR.

The study also predicted: “Super-regions with the highest all-age AMR mortality rate in 2050 are forecast to be south Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean.”

The emergence of antibiotic-resistant strains threatens to set back the world 100 years to the age when even a minor infection from a cut or an infection acquired during childbirth could result in a life-threatening condition.

This only changed with the development of the first antibiotic, penicillin, in 1928 by Alexander Fleming in London. Penicillin only became widely used during World War II when mass production was developed in the 1940s in the US by Howard Florey and Ernst Chain to treat wounded soldiers. This was the start of the “antibiotic era.”

Professor Alexander Fleming at work in his laboratory at St Mary’s Hospital, London [Photo: Ministry of Information]

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